Colgate
W-L: (19-15) PR = 95.9766Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 0- 1 1003 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 3- 5 1004 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 4- 9 1010 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 3- 1 1011 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 4- 3 1017 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 5- 2 1018 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 1- 2 1024 A Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 4 1025 A Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 5- 0 1031 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 3- 3 1101 H Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 4- 5 1107 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 5- 2 1108 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 1- 3 1114 H Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 3- 0 1115 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 3- 4 1121 A RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 2 1122 A Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 3- 2 1205 H Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 1- 6 1206 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 1 103 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 3- 0 109 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 6- 2 110 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 5- 2 116 A Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 0- 3 117 A Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 2- 6 123 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 5 124 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 3- 2 130 H Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 3- 0 131 H Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 3- 2 206 H Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 2- 1 207 H RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 2- 1 213 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 3- 4 214 A St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 4- 2 220 H RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 4- 2 227 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 2- 3 228 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Ohio State 3- 5 -2 -4 1.53
1004 H Ohio State 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.47
1010 H Boston University 3- 1 2 2 -0.11
1011 H Boston University 4- 3 1 2 -1.11
1017 A Maine 5- 2 3 1 1.93
1018 A Maine 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.07
1024 A Dartmouth 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.81
1025 A Harvard 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.09
1031 H Brown 3- 3 0 1 -0.53
1101 H Yale 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.39
1107 H RIT 5- 2 3 1 1.82
1108 H RIT 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.18
1114 H Cornell 3- 0 3 0 + 3.30
1115 A Cornell 3- 4 -1 -1 0.09
1121 A RPI 5- 2 3 2 0.85
1122 A Union 3- 2 1 1 -0.16
1205 H Princeton 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.48
1206 H Quinnipiac 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.11
103 A Boston College 3- 0 3 1 + 2.15
109 H St. Lawrence 6- 2 4 1 + 2.78
110 H Clarkson 5- 2 3 0 + 3.19
116 A Yale 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.61
117 A Brown 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.74
123 A Quinnipiac 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.11
124 A Princeton 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.30
130 H Harvard 3- 0 3 1 + 2.31
131 H Dartmouth 3- 2 1 3 -1.60
206 H Union 2- 1 1 2 -0.95
207 H RPI 2- 1 1 3 -1.94
213 A Clarkson 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.03
214 A St. Lawrence 4- 2 2 0 1.57
220 H RPI 4- 2 2 3 -0.94
227 A Cornell 2- 3 -1 -1 0.09
228 A Cornell 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.91
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Princeton 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.48 1018 A Maine 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.07 1024 A Dartmouth 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.81 1108 H RIT 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.18 117 A Brown 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.74 123 A Quinnipiac 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Harvard 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.09 1114 H Cornell 3- 0 3 0 + 3.30 1206 H Quinnipiac 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.11 103 A Boston College 3- 0 3 1 + 2.15 109 H St. Lawrence 6- 2 4 1 + 2.78 110 H Clarkson 5- 2 3 0 + 3.19 124 A Princeton 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.30 130 H Harvard 3- 0 3 1 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 0- 1 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.05 -2.69
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 3- 5 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 1.05 -0.21
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 4- 9 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 1.05 -0.21
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 3- 1 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 1.05 4.13
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 4- 3 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 1.05 4.13
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.38 2.62 0.39 1.05 6.30
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 1- 2 -5.38 2.62 0.39 1.05 -2.61
3 A Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 4 -6.13 1.88 0.39 1.05 -3.00
3 A Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 5- 0 -4.22 3.78 0.39 1.05 8.73
3 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 3- 3 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 1.05 0.00
3 H Yale (26-10, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.92 5.08 -0.39 1.05 -1.74
3 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 5- 2 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 1.05 6.07
3 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 1- 3 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 1.05 -2.67
3 H Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 3- 0 -3.23 4.78 -0.39 1.05 9.17
3 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.23 4.78 0.39 1.05 -1.48
3 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 2 -6.47 1.53 0.39 1.05 4.03
3 A Union (12-22, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.48 2.53 0.39 1.05 6.11
3 H Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 1- 6 -3.01 4.99 -0.39 1.05 -1.78
3 H Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 1 -2.42 5.58 -0.39 1.05 10.85
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 3- 0 -5.16 2.84 0.39 1.05 6.77
3 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 6- 2 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.05 5.99
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 5- 2 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.05 8.93
3 A Yale (26-10, 97.0) 0- 3 -2.92 5.08 0.39 1.05 -1.32
3 A Brown (18-15, 95.8) 2- 6 -4.06 3.94 0.39 1.05 -1.92
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 5 -2.42 5.58 0.39 1.05 -1.06
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 3- 2 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.05 11.27
3 H Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 3- 0 -4.22 3.78 -0.39 1.05 7.09
3 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 3- 2 -6.13 1.88 -0.39 1.05 3.10
3 H Union (12-22, 94.4) 2- 1 -5.48 2.53 -0.39 1.05 4.46
3 H RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 2- 1 -6.47 1.53 -0.39 1.05 2.39
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.05 -1.54
3 A St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 4- 2 -4.75 3.25 0.39 1.05 7.63
3 H RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 4- 2 -6.47 1.53 -0.39 1.05 2.39
3 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 2- 3 -3.23 4.78 0.39 1.05 -1.48
3 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 1- 3 -3.23 4.78 0.39 1.05 -1.48
------
94.35
|
winning pts = 119.5397 losing points = -25.1942
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------